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“There is usually a window of three-four weeks in transplanting of paddy, which requires good amount of rainfall particularly in non-irrigated areas.

Considering that, the delay isn’t that great as of now, but all now depends on the progress of monsoon because if rains become patchy after a delayed start, it might impact yields,” said KK Singh, head of Agromet Services.

He added that as far as other crops like maize, pulses and oilseeds in rain-fed areas of Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Gujarat and Rajasthan were concerned, the sowing window is still wide open and bulk of it will happen in July.According to IMD, the southwest monsoon is expected to be normal in July at 101 per cent of the long period average (LPA), while rains in August are expected to be lower at 94 per cent of LPA. The region-wise forecast is with a model error of 8 per cent.

Latest data from the agriculture ministry suggests sowing of the main kharif crop till last week was just around 1.2 per cent less than last year.

Chart with Monsoon Story

Monsoon from June 1-20

Normal - 90.6 millimeters

Actual - 84.5 millimeters

Deficit - 7%

% Area Over Which the Rains Were Excess, Normal or Below normal between June 1-20

Large Excess - 4%

Excess - 18%

Normal - 35%

Deficit - 32%

Large Deficit - 10%

No Rain - 0%

Source: India Meteorological Department (IMD)

Last modified on Friday, 22 June 2018

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